Seems like good news for the Obama camp as Biden seemingly has won the VP Debate in the United States.
On Wednesday I said that it would be a 50 majority for Obama. I still see that happening as Biden defeated Palin.
Mrs Palin played the Mothers touch, (Is that the lipsticked pig Sarah?). And for me thats the only feature that Palin can play on. She's a mother to a son who's serving in Iraq, is to be a grandmother before she's 45 and in the office of VP. To her mind then it means that she's in touch with common America. - Can remind me of some tough council estates of Britain where many of my friends and family come.
Not that its looking good for her as a poll of 60% of people feeling that she lacks the effectiveness of President; 33% said they were now less likely to Vote for McCain in the election.
McCain selected Palin as a get vote tactic in my eyes. - Now it seems like its doing the opposite
LATEST POLL AND COLLEGE VOTE FORECAST
DEMOCRATS: 338 Votes
REPUBLICANS: 185 Votes
15 votes tied. OBAMA TO HAVE A 138 MAJORITY.
(Source electoral-vote.com)
It's seemingly like Obama's going to get a landslide
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
I don't think you should be so sure about Obama getting a majority of 50. Two reasons:
a. Although Obama is polling around 7-8 points higher than McCain, there is always a 3% +/- margin of error, although this on its own doesn't prove my point as this could be in Obama's favour, which leads me on to....
b.The 'r-word', race. Although many, particularly in rural, traditionally Republican communities, are open about the fact that Obama being black will mean they will not vote for him, personally, I believe that many of those questioned in middle class suburbia will not have been honest to the pollsters. Many middle class suburbanites, particularly in key states, such as as Florida, The Carolinas and Virginia will undoubtedly be reluctant to vote for a black candidate, especially a candidate whose middle name is Hussain, and in my opinion these (often private) prejudices will only reveal themselves on November 4th.
My only other comment would be on each candidate's respective choice of running mate.
BIDEN- Biden, as the Democratic spin machine keeps pointing out is a blue collar democrat from Scranton, PA- a foil to Obama's academic liberalism and cosmopolitan upbringing. His foreign policy experience is also second to none due to his work on the Senate foreign affairs committee, again augmenting the strength of the Democratic ticket. Biden was therefore a classic (if somewhat obvious) choice for running mate. However, his comments relating to Hillary Clinton being better a better qualified candidate than him, combined with his apparant endorsement of McCain does lead to many (including myself) questioning his ability to fulfil that key VP attack dog role.
PALIN- Unlike Biden, the choice of Palin as democratic nominee was anything but obvious. It was the kind of decision that could either be completley inspired or awe-inspiringly bad. Padster, you refer to Palin being selected as a mere 'vote-getter' and when I first heard McCain's choice, I was inclined to agree. My initial thought was that the choice was a cynical yet powerful one- a woman, five(?) children, one with special needs, one out in Iraq, a gun activist etc. However, recently I have started to question whether it was McCain's intention to use her to unite the party in the long run, even at the expense of short term vote grabbing. Rural voters, who Palin appeals to most, are not the key demographic in this election, rural areas tend to side with Republicans whoever is on the ticket. Therefore I think that Palin was chosen as a figure to unite the party and give it momentum rather than for the simple acquisition of the votes of 'Joe Six Packs' right accross the country. Her stance on Roe vs Wade, Alaskan drilling, homosexuality and many issues filled many of those towards the right of the party, who were sceptical of McCains conservative credentials, with enthusiasm. This was designed to create momentum within the party which would in turn transfer accross to the battleground areas. This was initially successful as evidenced by the surge Republican support in opinion polls after the GOP's convention. However, numerous gaffes, combined with the simple fact that she does not seem to possess the same level of intellect of the other three people on the ballot, have left her the butt of many a prime time comidian's jokes and leve many wondering if she is qualified enough to be 'a heartbeat away from the Presidency'. It will be seen over the next few days whether her performance in last night's debate will transfer to momentum within the GOP in the same way her convention speach did. However, this time, will the momentum last?
Post a Comment