Sorry I've been away, the system has been sorting itself out, the Spam thing is a problem but then it solves a lot of problems.
Take Care, and I'll be back tomorrow
The Padster
Saturday 11 October 2008
Monday 6 October 2008
One year on....
A year ago, Labour had a 14 pt lead in the polls. Surely GB would go for an election and try to secure Labour their fourth term.
IN A GENERAL, LABOUR WOULD HAVE WON 401, CONSERVATIVES 188, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 33 AND THE OTHERS 28. GIVING THE GOVERNMENT A MAJORITY OF 152.
But he knew a lot of things that we didnt know, and that we wouldnt have needed to know until after the election.
So why did Bottler Brown not go for an election?
Surely with a 150 majority in the Commons to return to, he'd have looked forward to a fifth term for Labour, and a guarantee that Labour would deliver the Olympic Games.
Now, one year later it seems like he'll need to go to the end, and he'll not get victory anyway.
How big mistakes can cause huge ructions, Just like the previous Prime Minister who shares his name. - James Brown and James Callaghan, both ignored calls within the party for an Autumn election. So if pattern of Callaghan is to be follwed. Bye bye Gordon against a Tory tally of 347 seats.
IN A GENERAL, LABOUR WOULD HAVE WON 401, CONSERVATIVES 188, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 33 AND THE OTHERS 28. GIVING THE GOVERNMENT A MAJORITY OF 152.
But he knew a lot of things that we didnt know, and that we wouldnt have needed to know until after the election.
So why did Bottler Brown not go for an election?
Surely with a 150 majority in the Commons to return to, he'd have looked forward to a fifth term for Labour, and a guarantee that Labour would deliver the Olympic Games.
Now, one year later it seems like he'll need to go to the end, and he'll not get victory anyway.
How big mistakes can cause huge ructions, Just like the previous Prime Minister who shares his name. - James Brown and James Callaghan, both ignored calls within the party for an Autumn election. So if pattern of Callaghan is to be follwed. Bye bye Gordon against a Tory tally of 347 seats.
The American race seems to be getting closer, or is it?
I pop on the data-clogged base for my Forecast as the final month begins to take hold. Just 29 days left in what has been one of the most eagerly followed contests in recent years.
The Latest college tally prediction put by the Electoral Vote predictor is
BARRACK OBAMA 329 (-9)
JOHN McCAIN 194 (+9)
TIED COUNT 15 (=)
The count still would see a 130 majority for the Democratic Party. Well above my forecast of a majority of around 50 for the Democrats. In polls so far this month, The Democrats lead 47-22 from the 69 votes that would be offered to the winner.
However how good a closure is for the Republicans, many of the polls that give McCain his 194 votes are from before the callous Palin attack on Obama accusing him to be a domestic terrorist.
The Latest college tally prediction put by the Electoral Vote predictor is
BARRACK OBAMA 329 (-9)
JOHN McCAIN 194 (+9)
TIED COUNT 15 (=)
The count still would see a 130 majority for the Democratic Party. Well above my forecast of a majority of around 50 for the Democrats. In polls so far this month, The Democrats lead 47-22 from the 69 votes that would be offered to the winner.
However how good a closure is for the Republicans, many of the polls that give McCain his 194 votes are from before the callous Palin attack on Obama accusing him to be a domestic terrorist.
Sunday 5 October 2008
Browns battling impresses me but Home Secretary should go.
Over the last few days in the reshuffle and now following the Summit in Paris, I'm half impressed with Gordon Brown, for the first time in a year following the collapse in the polls following David Cameron's simple ripping to shreds of the PM.
The Prime Minister has underlined his determination to fight the credit crunch in the UK and the guarantee increase to £50,000 is arguably can help the majority of the people, but the problem is that it may not actually help some people.
On the other hand, Jacqui Smith needs to go. She talked about being powerless to prevent the resignation of Sir Ian Blair. Sounds as if she's powerless altogether.
And in meaning of a Question Time audience member, "Shape up or we shall KICK YOU OUT"
The Prime Minister has underlined his determination to fight the credit crunch in the UK and the guarantee increase to £50,000 is arguably can help the majority of the people, but the problem is that it may not actually help some people.
On the other hand, Jacqui Smith needs to go. She talked about being powerless to prevent the resignation of Sir Ian Blair. Sounds as if she's powerless altogether.
And in meaning of a Question Time audience member, "Shape up or we shall KICK YOU OUT"
Friday 3 October 2008
Replying to Jack's comment
If you have read the comment put by Jack Campbell (see Biden beats Palin) I can see what many of his points are and can understand what he means. Yet I still feel that Obama will still be victorious with at least 294 votes giving a majority of 50.
The Republicans gave no notice of their intentions in the VP race until the defeat of Hillary Clinton in the Democrat Primaries.
I can see where the Republicans can get Biden from, someone with experience, possibly to balance out the Obama critique of having no experience. However where does Governor Palin gain any experience. Like many others and I am sure of people in the States wouldn't have heard of her. Her common touch of being a mom seems stupid to me. Though she was stronger in the debate than was expected.
However, the fact that people are now preparing to vote against McCain for the Presidency in the wake of her appointment can only serve to be a possible disaster beacon for the Republicans with a month to go. Is McCain choosing Palin to succeed him as President.
Also a note on my prediction. I am aware of the errors involved but with the way things seem to be falling for the Reps, I seem confident on victory for Obama.
PADSTERS FORECAST 4 October
OBAMA 300
McCAIN 238
MAJORITY OF 72
The Republicans gave no notice of their intentions in the VP race until the defeat of Hillary Clinton in the Democrat Primaries.
I can see where the Republicans can get Biden from, someone with experience, possibly to balance out the Obama critique of having no experience. However where does Governor Palin gain any experience. Like many others and I am sure of people in the States wouldn't have heard of her. Her common touch of being a mom seems stupid to me. Though she was stronger in the debate than was expected.
However, the fact that people are now preparing to vote against McCain for the Presidency in the wake of her appointment can only serve to be a possible disaster beacon for the Republicans with a month to go. Is McCain choosing Palin to succeed him as President.
Also a note on my prediction. I am aware of the errors involved but with the way things seem to be falling for the Reps, I seem confident on victory for Obama.
PADSTERS FORECAST 4 October
OBAMA 300
McCAIN 238
MAJORITY OF 72
Now I know what to expect in the Cabinet
Just to get back into the Cabinet, Poor Mandelson will need to be elevated into the Lords. What cannon-fodder. Shows how silly the system is.
Maybe I should have a go for a place in Cabinet to be Lord Padster
Maybe I should have a go for a place in Cabinet to be Lord Padster
Biden beats Palin
Seems like good news for the Obama camp as Biden seemingly has won the VP Debate in the United States.
On Wednesday I said that it would be a 50 majority for Obama. I still see that happening as Biden defeated Palin.
Mrs Palin played the Mothers touch, (Is that the lipsticked pig Sarah?). And for me thats the only feature that Palin can play on. She's a mother to a son who's serving in Iraq, is to be a grandmother before she's 45 and in the office of VP. To her mind then it means that she's in touch with common America. - Can remind me of some tough council estates of Britain where many of my friends and family come.
Not that its looking good for her as a poll of 60% of people feeling that she lacks the effectiveness of President; 33% said they were now less likely to Vote for McCain in the election.
McCain selected Palin as a get vote tactic in my eyes. - Now it seems like its doing the opposite
LATEST POLL AND COLLEGE VOTE FORECAST
DEMOCRATS: 338 Votes
REPUBLICANS: 185 Votes
15 votes tied. OBAMA TO HAVE A 138 MAJORITY.
(Source electoral-vote.com)
It's seemingly like Obama's going to get a landslide
On Wednesday I said that it would be a 50 majority for Obama. I still see that happening as Biden defeated Palin.
Mrs Palin played the Mothers touch, (Is that the lipsticked pig Sarah?). And for me thats the only feature that Palin can play on. She's a mother to a son who's serving in Iraq, is to be a grandmother before she's 45 and in the office of VP. To her mind then it means that she's in touch with common America. - Can remind me of some tough council estates of Britain where many of my friends and family come.
Not that its looking good for her as a poll of 60% of people feeling that she lacks the effectiveness of President; 33% said they were now less likely to Vote for McCain in the election.
McCain selected Palin as a get vote tactic in my eyes. - Now it seems like its doing the opposite
LATEST POLL AND COLLEGE VOTE FORECAST
DEMOCRATS: 338 Votes
REPUBLICANS: 185 Votes
15 votes tied. OBAMA TO HAVE A 138 MAJORITY.
(Source electoral-vote.com)
It's seemingly like Obama's going to get a landslide
Mandelson returns and the elections becoming tighter
Peter Mandelson's one of the chief creators of Labour's Spin vision is to return to government in Gordon Brown's new cabinet.
Smells of desperation from the Prime Minister?
Inviting all of Tony's pals to be in the new cabinet after the reshuffle. Funny thing is that only a year ago I heard Gordon say he hated Mandelson and the vision that the media could be used as a tool rather than feel the pain of persecution by the media.
Does the Cabinet need changing?
Over the last couple of weeks Labour have started to close the political gap and the latest Guardian poll on the Conservatives and the latest Electoral Calculus predicition based on the Guardian's poll would mean
CONSERVATIVES 329
LABOUR 252
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 38
OTHERS 31
The Conservatives would have a majority of 8. Far from secure for Prime Minister Cameron. Being honest if that was to happen then the election after may be a snap poll to help the government. This can be a positive. Mr Wilson as PM was able to increase a majority of 4 to 96 in an 18 month Parliament. But it can also work the other way, Heath had a majority of 30 and lost the February 1974 election.
The September poll from Electoral Calculus gave the Tories a 15 point lead, just at the end of the month, its down to 9 points, can they get it up again as Parliament begins or is the Labour Party's faith in Gordon Brown well founded?
Smells of desperation from the Prime Minister?
Inviting all of Tony's pals to be in the new cabinet after the reshuffle. Funny thing is that only a year ago I heard Gordon say he hated Mandelson and the vision that the media could be used as a tool rather than feel the pain of persecution by the media.
Does the Cabinet need changing?
Over the last couple of weeks Labour have started to close the political gap and the latest Guardian poll on the Conservatives and the latest Electoral Calculus predicition based on the Guardian's poll would mean
CONSERVATIVES 329
LABOUR 252
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 38
OTHERS 31
The Conservatives would have a majority of 8. Far from secure for Prime Minister Cameron. Being honest if that was to happen then the election after may be a snap poll to help the government. This can be a positive. Mr Wilson as PM was able to increase a majority of 4 to 96 in an 18 month Parliament. But it can also work the other way, Heath had a majority of 30 and lost the February 1974 election.
The September poll from Electoral Calculus gave the Tories a 15 point lead, just at the end of the month, its down to 9 points, can they get it up again as Parliament begins or is the Labour Party's faith in Gordon Brown well founded?
Thursday 2 October 2008
SNP in sensible answer to credit crunch or is it?
For Scottish pupils in P1-P3. School dinners will be free.
Seems like a good idea, shame that the government would never implement something like this in England.
The SNP, elected 17 months ago has seen relatively little wrong happen to them, only really the reliance on Conservative support and the First Minister's resignation if it didnt go through. Where as Scots Labour have gone through two leaders and it seems like that the Labour party in Scotland is falling apart.
Having lost in Holyrood in 2007. It seems like Labour will be the big losers in the general election to be held next time round. The latest poll a month ago puts the SNP on 34 points, Labour on 32, The Tories on 17 and the LD's on 13.
Based against averages which would keep Labour in the lead it seems plausible that the SNP could triple their seat count @ Westminster to the levels similar to the Lib Dems on 1992.
This Free school meal policy is a vote winner for the SNP for the time being, as Fiona Hyslop, Scottish Education secretary put it: (Source BBC News)
"This government has made it a priority to help children in their early years and this initiative does just that, providing every child with a free school meal in their first years at primary school."
But does it have a chance in the Holyrood Parliament? Possibly, but also possibly not. And what happens to get the funfing here in the times of credit crunch. Not entirely thought out
Seems like a good idea, shame that the government would never implement something like this in England.
The SNP, elected 17 months ago has seen relatively little wrong happen to them, only really the reliance on Conservative support and the First Minister's resignation if it didnt go through. Where as Scots Labour have gone through two leaders and it seems like that the Labour party in Scotland is falling apart.
Having lost in Holyrood in 2007. It seems like Labour will be the big losers in the general election to be held next time round. The latest poll a month ago puts the SNP on 34 points, Labour on 32, The Tories on 17 and the LD's on 13.
Based against averages which would keep Labour in the lead it seems plausible that the SNP could triple their seat count @ Westminster to the levels similar to the Lib Dems on 1992.
This Free school meal policy is a vote winner for the SNP for the time being, as Fiona Hyslop, Scottish Education secretary put it: (Source BBC News)
"This government has made it a priority to help children in their early years and this initiative does just that, providing every child with a free school meal in their first years at primary school."
But does it have a chance in the Holyrood Parliament? Possibly, but also possibly not. And what happens to get the funfing here in the times of credit crunch. Not entirely thought out
Downing Street cool on Shuffle.
So it seems that if Ruth Kelly is still in a job in the Cabinet she'll still need to keep it.
Thats if she hasn't resigned. Since she said she would step down.
Downing Street has been very quiet about the reshuffle saying that the PM has more pressing concerns for him to be pushing on with. Notably Brown will be heading to Paris to hold talks about the state of the world economy, Which we know is struggling but could be on the up after the US Senate decided to vote yes on the bail-out plan.
Other than that aside it seems that Brown needs to be doing some work to try and save the sinking Labour party at the next election. Looking at polls compared to the 2005 General Election the Tories would have a 12% in their favour, which would mean a swing of 15% from the second landslide in 2001.
At the moment, based on the 12% swing from the 2005 Election the new Commons would be like this
Conservative 407
Labour 184
Liberal Democrats 33
Others 26
CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY OF 164.
The First Landslide for a Tory government since the 1987 election.
Hewitt, Milburn, Straw, Clarke, Darling, Kelly - all gone.
If the swing went the other way however, Cameron would lose his seat.
The 9 point lead however is smaller and smaller than it used to be, and the Conservatives still need the 7% swing to get a majority of 1. Its only once they get it does it build up all the time.
Anyone feel that the Tories getting 400 seats is too much based on having just 198 seats from 2005.
But whoevers promoted to the cabinet knows that they may be back in the dole queue like the bigweights mentioned above by June 2010.
Thats if she hasn't resigned. Since she said she would step down.
Downing Street has been very quiet about the reshuffle saying that the PM has more pressing concerns for him to be pushing on with. Notably Brown will be heading to Paris to hold talks about the state of the world economy, Which we know is struggling but could be on the up after the US Senate decided to vote yes on the bail-out plan.
Other than that aside it seems that Brown needs to be doing some work to try and save the sinking Labour party at the next election. Looking at polls compared to the 2005 General Election the Tories would have a 12% in their favour, which would mean a swing of 15% from the second landslide in 2001.
At the moment, based on the 12% swing from the 2005 Election the new Commons would be like this
Conservative 407
Labour 184
Liberal Democrats 33
Others 26
CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY OF 164.
The First Landslide for a Tory government since the 1987 election.
Hewitt, Milburn, Straw, Clarke, Darling, Kelly - all gone.
If the swing went the other way however, Cameron would lose his seat.
The 9 point lead however is smaller and smaller than it used to be, and the Conservatives still need the 7% swing to get a majority of 1. Its only once they get it does it build up all the time.
Anyone feel that the Tories getting 400 seats is too much based on having just 198 seats from 2005.
But whoevers promoted to the cabinet knows that they may be back in the dole queue like the bigweights mentioned above by June 2010.
Wednesday 1 October 2008
Labour going to make up ground?
Looking at the UK Elect forecast for the 2009/2010 general election, it seems like Labour have half a chance at keeping power. Far from my thoughts;
The UK Elect forecast is this
Labour: 260 (down 96 on 2005)
Conservatives: 338 (up 140 on 2005)
Liberal Democrats: 21 (down 41 on 2005)
Others: 31 (up one on 2005)
This tally includes the Speaker Michael Martin as a Labour MP
CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY OF 26
This is the first anomoly that I have found with many of my feelings and other sources have seen the Conservatives almost waltzing into Downing Street with a large majority. The Electoral Calculus prediction is of 86 seats, which would translate on a 152 seat swing from Lab to Con. In my mind I think the 140 seat gain for the Tories, similar to Labours gain of 147 in 1997 would still only put them on 338, so the majority of 26 may have some bearing. In my mind I think that the majority will be 56-80 ish because the lead of the Tories in all the polls is seemingly too much not to reflect a landslide for the government. But in comparison in 1997. Labour were only 59 seats away from government at the start of the 1992-97 term with 271 seats, so 147 seats would put them well above what they needed. The Conservatives need much much more, 128 seats to get a majority of two seats so if they are making a gain of 140 it may well only result in a small majority.
For me the next Parliament is now less and less likely to go to five years. We may see PM Cameron needing to steering the parliament either in a style of John Major, working with a small majority of MP's before building it in either a short term parliament or a long term parliament, which could damage his chances of getting a second term.
But then Mrs T. only took 339 seats in 1979 and then 397 in 1983, Perhaps if the majority is over 35 seats then a normal parliament may ensue.
But the UK Elect result suggests that there is still hope for Labour and still work to do for the Tories if they want to win their first victory for 16, and by the election itself 18 years.
The UK Elect forecast is this
Labour: 260 (down 96 on 2005)
Conservatives: 338 (up 140 on 2005)
Liberal Democrats: 21 (down 41 on 2005)
Others: 31 (up one on 2005)
This tally includes the Speaker Michael Martin as a Labour MP
CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY OF 26
This is the first anomoly that I have found with many of my feelings and other sources have seen the Conservatives almost waltzing into Downing Street with a large majority. The Electoral Calculus prediction is of 86 seats, which would translate on a 152 seat swing from Lab to Con. In my mind I think the 140 seat gain for the Tories, similar to Labours gain of 147 in 1997 would still only put them on 338, so the majority of 26 may have some bearing. In my mind I think that the majority will be 56-80 ish because the lead of the Tories in all the polls is seemingly too much not to reflect a landslide for the government. But in comparison in 1997. Labour were only 59 seats away from government at the start of the 1992-97 term with 271 seats, so 147 seats would put them well above what they needed. The Conservatives need much much more, 128 seats to get a majority of two seats so if they are making a gain of 140 it may well only result in a small majority.
For me the next Parliament is now less and less likely to go to five years. We may see PM Cameron needing to steering the parliament either in a style of John Major, working with a small majority of MP's before building it in either a short term parliament or a long term parliament, which could damage his chances of getting a second term.
But then Mrs T. only took 339 seats in 1979 and then 397 in 1983, Perhaps if the majority is over 35 seats then a normal parliament may ensue.
But the UK Elect result suggests that there is still hope for Labour and still work to do for the Tories if they want to win their first victory for 16, and by the election itself 18 years.
The End of the Conference season
So after 2 1/2 weeks in Birmingham, Manchester and Bournemouth the Party Conference season is over.
To be honest there seems to be positives to dwell on for the main three Party leaders in the UK.
Despite the lack of the progress in the Polls. Nick Clegg can be satisfied with the party's conference. The Liberal Democrats with arguably some of the stars in the Westminster show have impressed me. In particular Chris Hunhe's speech in the conference evoked some feelings inside me that although I was pleased that Clegg won the leadership election (My home is in Sheffield and have met Clegg a few times) that Chris Hunhe was someone who was actually good enough to be a decent leader for the Liberal Democrats.
The Prime Minister entered his parties conference in Manchester amid speculation that he may not even see the party to a general election. Brown facing critics on all sides impressed me with the feeling of personality that he showed, and for once in public he was seen to have the backing of the cabinet, though it still seems that there are people wanting Browny to get back to the palace to return the seals of office as PM to HM. In a poll amongst party members 52% want rid of The 57 year old leading to the call that the party is a "dictatorship" by a long haired man in Question Time. However it seems that the focus has shifted off whether Gordon Brown will be deciding the date of the next election, to whether Labour can turn around the 20 point defecit in the polls.
The Conservatives had a lot to follow after the 2007 conference where Cameron's speech could have ultimately won him the next election at a time where things looked very rocky after the start that Brown made in office. Compared to that Birmingham 2008 seems almost to have been a non event with only Cameron's speeches being considered anything like the 2007 conference. Things not changing in the Conservative Party? What on earth would Mrs Thatcher say?
But to be honest coming out of the Conference season ready for the Westminster kick-off it seems still like the Conservatives will be in power in a couple of years time
To be honest there seems to be positives to dwell on for the main three Party leaders in the UK.
Despite the lack of the progress in the Polls. Nick Clegg can be satisfied with the party's conference. The Liberal Democrats with arguably some of the stars in the Westminster show have impressed me. In particular Chris Hunhe's speech in the conference evoked some feelings inside me that although I was pleased that Clegg won the leadership election (My home is in Sheffield and have met Clegg a few times) that Chris Hunhe was someone who was actually good enough to be a decent leader for the Liberal Democrats.
The Prime Minister entered his parties conference in Manchester amid speculation that he may not even see the party to a general election. Brown facing critics on all sides impressed me with the feeling of personality that he showed, and for once in public he was seen to have the backing of the cabinet, though it still seems that there are people wanting Browny to get back to the palace to return the seals of office as PM to HM. In a poll amongst party members 52% want rid of The 57 year old leading to the call that the party is a "dictatorship" by a long haired man in Question Time. However it seems that the focus has shifted off whether Gordon Brown will be deciding the date of the next election, to whether Labour can turn around the 20 point defecit in the polls.
The Conservatives had a lot to follow after the 2007 conference where Cameron's speech could have ultimately won him the next election at a time where things looked very rocky after the start that Brown made in office. Compared to that Birmingham 2008 seems almost to have been a non event with only Cameron's speeches being considered anything like the 2007 conference. Things not changing in the Conservative Party? What on earth would Mrs Thatcher say?
But to be honest coming out of the Conference season ready for the Westminster kick-off it seems still like the Conservatives will be in power in a couple of years time
One month to go, and Obama at the moment is favourite in my opinion
My first post made reference to there being just under five weeks to go til polling day in the States.
As October begins, the Opinion polls in each individual state would point to a General Election victory for Barrack Obama with an overall college majority of 50.
Under my current forecast, using the main statewide vote for each candidate, Obama would receive 292 college votes. Well above the levels achieved by Bush in 2000 and 2004 but down on the results that Bill Clinton had in 1992 and 1996, the last time the Democrats won the White House Race.
McCain would receive a college vote of 233 with the remaining 9 going to third party candidates, most likely to be Ralph Nader.
One thing I have felt looking at the poll results is that Florida is Now almost too close to call and the Out-going President's Home state has the two main candidates each locked on 47%. If Florida was to swich to Democrats, ten Obama would be on 319, McCain on 206 and the others 9, more than doubling the Obama camp's majority to 104 votes in the college. The biggest majority for a President since Clinton defeated Dole with a majority of 220 in the 1996 election.
Again it seems like the Vote is a Youth vs Experience. For the second time in 15 years, the Candidate for the Reps in 72, and the youngest Presidential candidate since the War for the Republicans was the 47 year old Richard Nixon in 1960, After that its Bush Jnr, at 54 in 2000, Then it goes to Ford at 63 for his first full term, Bush Snr at 64 in 1988, and Raegan at 69 in 1980. Then it comes to Dole, who lost in 1996 and McCain, who's dithering after his nomination when he had months in hand on the Democrats could seemingly have lost him the 2008 election.
The Padster
As October begins, the Opinion polls in each individual state would point to a General Election victory for Barrack Obama with an overall college majority of 50.
Under my current forecast, using the main statewide vote for each candidate, Obama would receive 292 college votes. Well above the levels achieved by Bush in 2000 and 2004 but down on the results that Bill Clinton had in 1992 and 1996, the last time the Democrats won the White House Race.
McCain would receive a college vote of 233 with the remaining 9 going to third party candidates, most likely to be Ralph Nader.
One thing I have felt looking at the poll results is that Florida is Now almost too close to call and the Out-going President's Home state has the two main candidates each locked on 47%. If Florida was to swich to Democrats, ten Obama would be on 319, McCain on 206 and the others 9, more than doubling the Obama camp's majority to 104 votes in the college. The biggest majority for a President since Clinton defeated Dole with a majority of 220 in the 1996 election.
Again it seems like the Vote is a Youth vs Experience. For the second time in 15 years, the Candidate for the Reps in 72, and the youngest Presidential candidate since the War for the Republicans was the 47 year old Richard Nixon in 1960, After that its Bush Jnr, at 54 in 2000, Then it goes to Ford at 63 for his first full term, Bush Snr at 64 in 1988, and Raegan at 69 in 1980. Then it comes to Dole, who lost in 1996 and McCain, who's dithering after his nomination when he had months in hand on the Democrats could seemingly have lost him the 2008 election.
The Padster
Welcome to The Padster's blog
Hello all, The Padster here,
Here I will talk about everything and anything in the huge world of politics. The huge scale event that is on its way in the next month is the US Presidential Election Obama vs. McCain.
With just 35 days to go until the people of the Star-Spangled-Banner nation go the polls I'll be taking a look at what Americans will be feeling ahead of the final General Election on November 4th.
Also as October begins so the new Parliamentary session starts. Can Gord0n Brown lead Labour through their darkest moment in 25 years or is it likely that Mr Cameron will be Prime Minister in 12 months time. With a definite 26 months to go till the election deadline, is it possible that Labour can recover, or have the Conservatives secured their return the power since Mr Major's government that was voted out spectatcularly in 1997.
It will be all here on my blog
Regards,
The Padster
Here I will talk about everything and anything in the huge world of politics. The huge scale event that is on its way in the next month is the US Presidential Election Obama vs. McCain.
With just 35 days to go until the people of the Star-Spangled-Banner nation go the polls I'll be taking a look at what Americans will be feeling ahead of the final General Election on November 4th.
Also as October begins so the new Parliamentary session starts. Can Gord0n Brown lead Labour through their darkest moment in 25 years or is it likely that Mr Cameron will be Prime Minister in 12 months time. With a definite 26 months to go till the election deadline, is it possible that Labour can recover, or have the Conservatives secured their return the power since Mr Major's government that was voted out spectatcularly in 1997.
It will be all here on my blog
Regards,
The Padster
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